вторник, 25 ноября 2008 г.

Новостное письмо от FxHope

В этом письме Йоханес рассказывает и показывает что именно вызвало такую просадку и что нужно в таком случае делать. По его же словам в эти выходные будет выпущена версия 813, в которой будет улучшена работа Reverse цикла. Вот оригинал письма:

Dear Ree,

I will explain the EUR/USD market update and results into our
DTS-1 after Citibank News yesterday and GDP results today that 
sunk the dollar.

Our support receive emails asking why your account results is better 
than our live account now.

Your account should already closed the drawdown caused by R-Cycle
or left with small drawdown now.

I will explain why your account is better than our live account
condition:
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Your account should show BULLISH power is bigger then BEARISH power
(Buy Positions more then Sell Positions), because:

- All R-Cycle finally in in correct positions (although some come
too early).

- All R-Cycle should closed with profit now.

=> The R-Cycle which opened by DTS-1 because EUR/USD technically
has too oversold and bulish divergence finally paid off.

- Yesterday DTS-1 is correctly detect the trend will change into
bullish and do an automatic MSP below at 1.2620-1.2650.

- DTS-1 closed all SELL positions above 1.2620 and changed into BUY
positions

=> This added more long positions into your account.

The reason why our live account back into bigger drawdown because:
--------------------------------------------------------------------
1. I manually arranged our live account into a Bearish positions.
SHORT power is bigger than LONG power (Sell positions is more
than Buy Positions).

2. Last Friday we were very closed to close our positions, our
drawdown only 6% from last equity watermark at $78,000.
We only need EUR/USD to go lower 80 pips to close our positions.

3. Yesterday when Euro suddenly changed into bullish and break the
narrower wedge formation against the US Dollar,
our client was hesitate to hedge the Short positions by adding
Long positions.

One of the reason is when we add more Long positions, our target
that already so close will going far.

He decide to hold the hedge process and hope the EUR/USD back
into Bearish again.
But with Citibank news yesterday and worse GDP news today sunk
the dollar and bring Euro into more bullish side.

As the results if you take a look at our live account, we more
than 100 pips gap where it should be filled with Long Positions.

4. My client want me too add more Short Positions using scalping
technique when EUR/USD still below between 1.3100.

=> Our live account drawdown today solely because our manual
decision to hold the Long positions, and add more Short positions.
=> It should not reflect your account.

With DTS-1 you can control which side (Bullish side/Bearish side)
is bigger than the other side.

You can control your account condition with:

1. ADD POSITIONS on one side: using the additional cycles (B-cycle,
I-cycle, R-cycle and S-cycle).

or 

2. DECREASE POSITIONS at the other side: Using Manual MSP (Moving
Starting Point) process.

I will add tutorial in our blog (http://www.forexhope.com/blog/) on
Manual MSP this weekend after I release DTS-1 build 813.
Build 813 should have better R-Cycle entry signals than 812.

Now I wait taking action into our live account, EUR/USD trends is
unclear now.

Although EUR/USD could still drop below 1.2330. However that the
pair can be pushed to 1.3300 in a larger recovery from 1.2330. 
Until EUR/USD show a clear trend: back to Bearish or reverse into
Bullish, I will hold any manual interruption.


Kind Regards,


Yohanes R. Gagahlin

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